• 3 Posts
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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: June 27th, 2024

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  • Yeah. I tend to agree.

    Being able to drive without killing someone is only one aspect of an autonomous vehicle, and security is one that I’m not confident about in the least.

    I’ve noticed that my wife’s Level 2 car is just hopeless outside of the city. Sure that’s where most people live and it’s fine for most people.

    Driving on country roads it spends more time having self-disabled it’s autonomous features than not, simply because it can’t see the road or what have you.


  • You’re not wrong, but that’s not really what I meant although perhaps I didn’t explain it very well.

    Another way to say the same thing, if you group together all the various components or aspects of “driving”, 95% of them might be solved relatively easily, but getting the last 5% right is extraordinarily difficult.

    It’s deceiving because the first time you saw a Level 2 car in 2018 it’s natural to think that if they’ve made so much progress seemingly overnight, then surely in the next few years we will have Level 6 cars.

    I do take your point that humans are also good drivers 95% of the time and mistakes only occur within 5% of situations. The issue there is the imperative that autonomous cars must be better than a human in all circumstances. If a human makes, on average, 5 serious mistakes every 500,000km, but an autonomous car makes 6, you’d probably not want to put your family in that autonomous car.








  • I think your angle is a bit reductive.

    Conversations or interactions generally don’t go from 0 to how-dare-you-not-care-about-my-baby instantaneously.

    For example, in a cafe, order coffee, I’ve never met the barista before, they’re not going to flop out baby photos and grill me about how much I don’t care about their kidlet. They might make casual conversation, how are you, great day, bit tired, newborn up all night, oh I have a newborn too, she’s been unwell, yeah ours had HFMD last week, oh that’s tough, is she better now, was the fever bad, and so on and so forth. What I’m saying is, it’s through the too and fro that you guage how interested someone is in the things that are important to you.

    If my sister had a child then she would probably just expect me to care about her new baby because she’s family and we see each other every week and the new baby is going to be part of my life for the rest of my life.

    Another thing that happens is… people just get excited about things and that’s ok too. I became a new father almost a year ago. To me, it’s the most amazing thing that’s ever happened to me. Of course I understand that it’s not very amazing to anyone else, but for those first few weeks of course I was excited about it. It would be fine if I were to “overshare” with my barista, but it would also be fine if they were to tell me to keep my baby photos to myself.


  • Automation is always incremental.

    I’m an accountant. Components of the job have been being automated or systemised for many decades. Most of the tasks that occupied a graduate when I was one 20 years ago don’t exist anymore.

    Not because AI is doing those tasks but just because everything became more integrated, we configure and manage the flow of data rather than making the data, you might say.

    If you had to hire 100 professional programmers in the past, but then AI makes programmers 10% more efficient than previously, then you can do the same work with 91 programmers.

    That doesn’t mean that 9 people were doing something that an LLM can do, it just means that more work is being completed with fewer programmers.