You can tune in right now: Nothing, forever.

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Good for them.

Bruh it won’t matter.

I’ve been trying o1 preview for a few weeks.

Wowza what a clownshow. Can I please just have 3.5 without guardrails?

Oh no. Anyways.

I could see them buying ARM/ deepening the relationship with ARM. But Intel?

The markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.

Think of inflation from monetary policy like lead in the environment. It takes time, but it all eventually ends up in the bones. Real property are those bones. 13 trillion dollars were ‘created’ during covid. Inflation (which i don’t think is necessarily the right word to use, because it implies it can go backwards), takes time to get “into” the price of products, but products that transact faster, inflate faster. Property “inflates” on a relatively long time horizon, but its often very substantial appearing jumps because the transaction cycle is so long (typically 10+ years between transactions).

So maybe you’ve not bought a home, but try not to think about things in the absolute value of their price-tag, but rather in the monthly cost of the money to make the payments on the debt. At 2.5% interest, lots of people can afford a 500k house. At 6% interest far fewer can. If the seller re-financed at less than inflation, its literally more “profitable” to just pay the mortgage than to sell.

I see some others blaming air-bnb’s. There is very little evidence for this. A few papers have found significant correlations, but the effect is so small relative to inflation that we should probably ignore it, and most of these papers are from a pre-inflationary period. Orders of magnitude more impactful is the fact that so many home owners were able to either purchase or re-finance at an extremely low rate in 2020/2021. Blaming Air-bnb’s and ignoring the broader macro-environment in which all property sit is just extraordinarily lazy, reactionary thinking. Air-bnb’s represent a microscopic number of actual rentals, and have been dropping in numbers for years.

I’ve always found earing and necklace sets that they enjoy (they don’t have to be expensive) and are fun to wear are always a hit. Its also a good way to test the water with something relatively cheap (>$50- $100) to identify their style. If possible, I would strongly recommend buying in-person at something like a craft market or farmers market: anything in-person. How something looks online often just does not translate to in-person.

The key here is a set, something they can add in-combination to something they already have.

Your argument is a false dichotomy.

You should look up what a false dichotomy is. A false dichotomy is typically when someone presents two choices as the only possible options, ignoring other possibilities. My argument doesn’t do that. I’m arguing you have no-idea where Stein voters (or Johnson voters for that matter) would go if not for Stein. Also, you may not have noticed it, but you quite literally engage in false dichotomy in your response.

You are still making the assumption that voters only have two choices. No matter how much you’ve convinced yourself that’s the case; its not reality. Voters don’t have to vote. Voters can vote Republican or however they want. No candidate is owed a vote, however much Democrats want that to be a thing.

The entire rhetorical approach you are engaging in is why Kamala has been slipping in the polls, and its precisely why Hillary lost in 2016. If you want your proffered candidate to win, you actually have to convince people that they are worth voting for. And unlike Kamala, Trump is out there doing that. Stein is out there doing that. Chase Oliver is actually doing that (you don’t know who that is do you?), and guess what? Oliver is beating Stein in most swing states.

The claim that Stein is spoiling when they are polling at literally less than measurable numbers is so obviously idiotic, no one worth respecting would give it anything more than a cursory swipe.

There is a meme going around blaming Jill Stein for “spoiling” the 2016 race. I was developing an relatively simple analysis to show how and why its ridiculous to propose that Jill Stein “spoiled” the 2016 election. Specifically, in no race did the green party candidate get more votes than the libertarian candidate. A great example is the headline meme that was up about a day ago here: https://lemmy.world/post/21038666?scrollToComments=true

https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/

So in Michigan, ~50k voters went to Stein. In that race, 170k went to Gary Johnson.

Pennsylvania, 48,912 to Stein, and for Gary Johnson, 142,653.

Wisconsin, 30,980 to Stein, and for Gary Johnson, 106,442.

So taking these three as an example, in none of these races, if you were to ‘remove’ the 3rd party candidates, would Hillary have won.

Likewise, the meme assumes that “all” of Green Party voters go to Hillary, and some how the Gary Johnson voters just evaporate.

It doesn’t really make sense at any level. Its part of a broader pattern of voter intimidation that seems to be mostly focused on defending a candidate that has been shown to be lacking, not at all different than what we saw in 2016. I didn’t bother finishing the analysis after a very brief look at the data, because it was so patently absurd to suggest that Jill Stein spoiled anything for anyone in 2016, when she literally did not beat Johnson in a single race.

That just seems like at least double the cost.

Wouldn’t that be the point of focusing on the interoperability layers and recent investment in Arch?

it does not remotely get the same kind of battery life as it does in OSX

Yeah exactly. So you need to invest into finding the fixes to that. Which is what Valve appears to be doing? It might be a fishing expedition or just a virtue signal to the foss world, sure. But they did do the thing.

And yes on AMD. I did leave that window for myself to crawl out through. I think if the trip down ARM on Arch ends up being a fishing expedition, they flip over to a known quantity for a refresh.

Obviously anecdotal, but if the next Steam deck was Intel based, I wouldn’t buy it.

This seems like it would put the price far out of reach.

With their recent donations to Arch Linux were focused on unblocking some issues with supporting Arch on ARM (notibally stuff needed for better automated builds) would suggest they want to stick with Arch.

Next you need good emulation layers for x64 and x86 as that is what all games are written in. Which there are leaks that say they are working on this as well.

Thats two legs of support for an ARM architecture.

But that is two big blockers that could take years to solve.

Sure. But what you are describing is “uncertainty”. Uncertainty in isolation isn’t a form of evidence. It could take years. It could not. Its not just Valve looking to solve this issue. MS has committed to ARM based interoperability; so has Apple. MS and Apple obviously want things to work seamlessly between ARM and x64, x86. The heat/ power to performance gains are just too much to leave on the table and both of those Software/ Hardware manufacturers saw this coming. If this was a project coming out of Valve & Arch doing the work; sure, I’d give it a time line of a couple to several years. But Valve while coming in with backing and there are other players looking to overcome and address the same problem. With teams like MS and Apple also working on it, I expect this to be figured out on a faster timeline. Months/ few years.

Within a couple of years and I don’t think it will be arm based.

Sure. If thats your bet thats your bet. My bet is solidly on ARM. Its what the evidence we have points at, even if there isn’t a ton of certainty around it.

Its gonna be ARM based. Just no other way to get the power to performance. Maybe some of the AMD architectures. Also, expect soldered RAM.

AI slop graphic.