I think the scary thing is if it takes the suppliers more than 3 days to figure that out. Companies oftentimes can last 3 days without food (and rarely fix things very quickly at any scale).
I think the scary thing is if it takes the suppliers more than 3 days to figure that out. Companies oftentimes can last 3 days without food (and rarely fix things very quickly at any scale).
That one seems kinda scary - if inflation was 6% and something wasn’t sold at any profit, all stores would stop selling it. (This is true for most food.)
Agreed, that would be.
But the most they could have done is 308% instead of that 300%, and I think they managed to get lots and lots of small stores to do it at the same time.
What do the laws on the book look like?
I’ll note that grocers record profits are orders of magnitude less than the price increases. Maybe somebody is getting rich off of the price increases, but I’m pretty sure Walmart is not.
I’ll note that grocers seem to have made very little profit per American in the last few years; Walmart made ~$70 off each of us last year, which seems incompatible with the price increases I’ve been seeing…
Would you then be posting your conclusions? Like, if you’re gonna do that work on some of these posts anyway… may as well share.
Bravo for bringing the notes. On a first glance, some of these feel like they require subjectivity (like, do we really believe the political spectrum is 1d?), but I agree I could run the computation myself from this.
But I think blaming children for the fact that all people are unbearable is… idk, you’ve mistaken a symptom for a problem? Working on the general misanthropy is probably a better start?
It’s very weird to me that you’re only listing loud things children do… Like, have you ever been around a sleeping child? Do they bother you? What about in a classroom, watching a movie, or running in the distance (out of earshot)?
Average volume of a child is higher than adults, but only by a factor of 2 or so. And their noises are interpretable, you can definitely figure out what they mean, unlike the adult noises.
Ah, so it’s the probability you win by playing randomly. Gotcha. That makes sense, it becomes a choice between 2 doors
Why do you have a P(x1) = 1/2 at the start? I’m not sure what x1 means if we don’t specify a strategy.
Oh that’s cool - I had heard one or two examples only. Is there some popular writeup of the story from Savant’s view?
An arithmetic miracle:
Let’s define a sequence. We will start with 1 and 1.
To get the next number, square the last, add 1, and divide by the second to last. a(n+1) = ( a(n)^2 +1 )/ a(n-1) So the fourth number is (2*2+1)/1 =5, while the next is (25+1)/2 = 13. The sequence is thus:
1, 1, 2, 5, 13, 34, …
If you keep computing (the numbers get large) you’ll see that every time we get an integer. But every step involves a division! Usually dividing things gives fractions.
This last is called the somos sequence, and it shows up in fairly deep algebra.
I now recall there was a numberphile with exactly that visualisation! It’s a clever visual
For the uninitiated, the monty Hall problem is a good one.
Start with 3 closed doors, and an announcer who knows what’s behind each. The announcer says that behind 2 of the doors is a goat, and behind the third door is a car student debt relief, but doesn’t tell you which door leads to which. They then let you pick a door, and you will get what’s behind the door. Before you open it, they open a different door than your choice and reveal a goat. Then the announcer says you are allowed to change your choice.
So should you switch?
The answer turns out to be yes. 2/3rds of the time you are better off switching. But even famous mathematicians didn’t believe it at first.
Note you’ll need the regions to be connected (or allow yourself to color things differently if they are the same ‘country’ but disconnected). I forget if this causes problems for any world map.
As one of the few folks who have asked such questions, I obviously am against. I don’t think the dedicated pol communities are particularly good for honest questions about platforms/political figures; everything in those spaces feels like it’s being intentionally spun (even in discussions) in a way that this community does not. (Also, several of the communities you suggest as pol discussion places are… just not? Extremely few questions, most the posts are headlines, discussions don’t seem to happen much. Some feel closer to a curated feed of cringe.)
I do agree it could become an issue, and that would justify some division, perhaps tags? But I don’t think it is currently very unpleasant, and it will almost certainly get better in 2 months (at least short term).